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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.58+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.02+4.74vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.54vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.40+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.64-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.05+3.38vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33+0.94vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+0.19vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.53-3.92vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.51+2.73vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45+1.67vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.43-3.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.30-7.81vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.69-0.64vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98-3.10vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-2.24-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Jacksonville University1.5814.7%1st Place
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6.74University of South Florida1.026.2%1st Place
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6.54Florida Institute of Technology0.737.0%1st Place
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4.95North Carolina State University1.4012.6%1st Place
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4.47University of Michigan1.6415.8%1st Place
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9.38University of North Carolina-0.052.5%1st Place
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7.94The Citadel0.334.6%1st Place
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8.19Christopher Newport University0.653.9%1st Place
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5.08North Carolina State University1.5312.4%1st Place
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12.73Embry-Riddle University-1.511.1%1st Place
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12.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.451.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston University0.434.3%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Central Florida-1.690.4%1st Place
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11.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.1%1st Place
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14.3University of South Carolina-2.240.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Chase | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 15.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 13.7% |
| Erin Winters | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 13.9% |
| John Cabell | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 20.5% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 7.3% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.