← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College4.05+5.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami3.69+6.42vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.71vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.93+3.76vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.88+2.84vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.35+3.88vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University4.31-0.74vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.26+2.08vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.67-0.44vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.44-0.40vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.70-2.46vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont3.39-2.28vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.45-3.57vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami3.25-3.88vs Predicted
-
15Yale University3.89-7.15vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.99Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
7.76College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.84Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
9.88Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
6.26Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
10.08Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
-
8.56Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.6Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
-
8.54Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
9.72University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
-
9.43Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
-
10.12University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
-
7.85Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| David Hernandez | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Alex Cook | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 13.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Peter Miller | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% |
| William Howard | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.