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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.33vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.24+0.64vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96-1.14vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-1.21+0.43vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.26-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.83-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.58-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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2.64Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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1.86Penn State University0.960.5%1st Place
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4.43Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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3.31Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 13.1% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Anthony Farrar | 22.1% | 27.4% | 24.6% | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 47.2% | 29.2% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 40.1% | 16.6% | 2.5% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 11.6% | 18.7% | 22.1% | 26.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 10.2% | 49.8% | 31.9% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 24.8% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.