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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.29vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.96-0.11vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24-0.31vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-1.21+0.43vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.26-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.83-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.58-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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1.89Penn State University0.960.5%1st Place
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2.69Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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4.43Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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3.29Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 13.6% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 24.9% | 17.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 47.2% | 28.5% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 21.2% | 26.5% | 25.3% | 17.6% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.4% | 6.0% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 40.3% | 16.7% | 2.5% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 12.2% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 27.9% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 10.4% | 49.6% | 31.9% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 24.5% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.