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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.15vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.24+0.53vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26+0.10vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96-2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-3.58+1.38vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-2.41-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-2.83-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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2.53Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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3.1Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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1.85Penn State University0.960.5%1st Place
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6.38University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
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5.34Colgate University-2.410.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 14.0% | 17.8% | 25.2% | 28.5% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Farrar | 21.9% | 30.3% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 13.9% | 19.2% | 24.0% | 30.3% | 11.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 47.0% | 28.9% | 16.8% | 6.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 62.9% |
| Lewis Gibbons | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 38.4% | 32.0% | 14.4% |
| Carlos Lopez | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 23.1% | 42.7% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.