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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-1.07+2.09vs Predicted
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2Colgate University-1.14+1.18vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-0.16vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82+0.15vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.64-2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-3.29-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.97-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.18Colgate University-1.140.2%1st Place
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2.84Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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4.15Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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2.56Syracuse University-0.640.3%1st Place
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5.85University of Rochester-3.290.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 19.3% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Spear | 17.5% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Josh Elliott | 23.4% | 21.4% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 32.3% | 16.0% | 3.2% |
| Tucker Ballou | 28.6% | 25.6% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Will Sexter | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 11.8% | 43.9% | 32.5% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 24.0% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.