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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-1.07+2.06vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+0.81vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.82+1.14vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.64-1.41vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.14-1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-3.29-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.97-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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2.81Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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4.14Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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2.59Syracuse University-0.640.3%1st Place
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3.24Colgate University-1.140.2%1st Place
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5.83University of Rochester-3.290.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 20.9% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Josh Elliott | 23.2% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 32.2% | 14.5% | 3.5% |
| Tucker Ballou | 28.6% | 24.0% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Spear | 16.1% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Will Sexter | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 12.7% | 43.9% | 31.9% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 24.5% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.