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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+1.27vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.82+1.22vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.64-1.03vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-1.86-1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-3.29-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.97-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.3%1st Place
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3.22Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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1.97Syracuse University-0.640.4%1st Place
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3.27Penn State Behrend-1.860.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Rochester-3.290.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Elliott | 29.7% | 33.0% | 21.7% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 11.9% | 17.9% | 24.9% | 29.7% | 12.9% | 2.7% |
| Tucker Ballou | 43.1% | 28.7% | 18.3% | 8.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Corey Smith | 12.1% | 14.9% | 25.0% | 32.1% | 13.5% | 2.4% |
| Will Sexter | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 43.7% | 31.0% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 25.2% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.