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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+1.27vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.64-0.05vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-1.86+0.26vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-3.29-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.97-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.3%1st Place
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1.95Syracuse University-0.640.4%1st Place
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3.26Penn State Behrend-1.860.1%1st Place
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3.25Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Rochester-3.290.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Elliott | 29.6% | 32.4% | 23.8% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Tucker Ballou | 44.3% | 27.7% | 19.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Corey Smith | 12.1% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 33.0% | 13.6% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 11.1% | 17.0% | 25.6% | 30.5% | 13.8% | 2.0% |
| Will Sexter | 1.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 43.7% | 31.4% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 24.2% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.