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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.64+1.52vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.82+2.14vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-1.14+0.21vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-3.29+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-3.97+0.41vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-1.07-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Syracuse University-0.640.3%1st Place
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4.14Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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3.21Colgate University-1.140.2%1st Place
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2.9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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5.85University of Rochester-3.290.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
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2.98Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Ballou | 30.8% | 24.9% | 19.5% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Mascia | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 31.1% | 17.0% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Spear | 16.8% | 18.6% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 16.6% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Josh Elliott | 21.5% | 22.5% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Will Sexter | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 45.0% | 32.3% |
| Jonah Belback | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.0% | 25.0% | 63.7% |
| Bryce Nill | 20.8% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 21.5% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.