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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.64+1.52vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.06vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-1.14+0.20vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82+0.14vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-2.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-3.29-0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.97-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Syracuse University-0.640.3%1st Place
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3.06Penn State Behrend-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.2Colgate University-1.140.2%1st Place
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4.14Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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2.92Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.2%1st Place
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5.84University of Rochester-3.290.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Ballou | 30.8% | 25.1% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Nill | 19.4% | 19.5% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Spear | 16.8% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 31.0% | 16.4% | 3.2% |
| Josh Elliott | 21.3% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Will Sexter | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 44.5% | 32.2% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 23.6% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.