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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.64+1.01vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+0.19vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-1.86+0.27vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.82-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-3.29-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.97-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Syracuse University-0.640.4%1st Place
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2.19Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.3%1st Place
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3.27Penn State Behrend-1.860.1%1st Place
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3.25Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Rochester-3.290.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Pittsburgh-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Ballou | 38.6% | 33.0% | 19.1% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Josh Elliott | 35.0% | 29.6% | 20.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Corey Smith | 12.5% | 15.0% | 24.4% | 32.0% | 13.8% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Mascia | 11.4% | 15.8% | 26.6% | 30.4% | 13.7% | 2.1% |
| Will Sexter | 1.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 43.8% | 31.3% |
| Jonah Belback | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 24.3% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.