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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Massimo Soriano 5.1% 7.3% 6.9% 6.6% 6.5% 5.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.2% 6.2% 6.6% 6.9% 6.5% 6.1% 6.0% 4.6%
Mackenzie Spencer 3.7% 6.0% 4.8% 5.2% 5.7% 4.3% 5.4% 5.3% 4.6% 7.0% 6.1% 6.3% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 10.6%
Andrew Sommer 7.9% 7.1% 6.1% 7.8% 7.2% 6.7% 7.1% 6.2% 6.8% 6.2% 9.2% 4.9% 5.6% 3.9% 4.5% 2.8%
Fletcher Sims 7.6% 8.5% 8.7% 7.0% 7.3% 7.4% 6.5% 7.6% 6.0% 6.3% 6.4% 5.6% 4.8% 4.1% 4.0% 2.2%
Emily Lambert 5.5% 5.9% 5.1% 5.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 5.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.0% 6.8% 5.0%
Andrew Mason 3.6% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 4.4% 5.4% 6.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.5% 6.3% 5.9% 7.6% 9.0% 10.4% 14.3%
Zeke Horowitz 7.8% 6.7% 7.9% 6.7% 6.4% 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 5.7% 6.0% 5.9% 6.4% 5.8% 5.9% 4.5% 2.5%
Alex Cook 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 7.0% 6.5% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 5.8% 4.4% 5.8% 4.2% 3.0%
Sean Bouchard 11.4% 11.2% 11.1% 9.5% 7.7% 8.4% 6.3% 6.7% 7.3% 4.8% 3.8% 3.6% 2.9% 3.0% 1.0% 1.3%
Cam Cullman 7.7% 6.7% 6.1% 7.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 8.5% 6.7% 7.7% 6.4% 4.4% 5.6% 3.5% 3.0%
David Hernandez 6.7% 6.1% 5.3% 6.8% 6.3% 5.8% 4.3% 6.6% 6.1% 7.4% 5.8% 8.4% 7.0% 5.6% 6.9% 4.9%
Emily Dellenbaugh 5.1% 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 7.0% 5.1% 6.6% 5.2% 5.8% 5.1% 6.1% 5.4% 8.5% 7.6% 8.9% 10.2%
William Howard 2.9% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 5.3% 4.5% 5.5% 5.1% 5.8% 6.6% 6.9% 8.7% 8.5% 8.7% 13.9%
Matt Johnson 4.6% 4.0% 4.7% 4.6% 3.9% 6.8% 4.9% 5.2% 7.1% 6.4% 6.0% 5.9% 6.9% 8.3% 9.8% 10.9%
Matthew Wefer 8.5% 7.4% 8.1% 7.1% 8.9% 7.3% 7.3% 6.5% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.4% 5.3% 3.7% 3.2% 1.7%
Peter Miller 4.3% 4.0% 5.4% 4.1% 5.2% 4.4% 6.4% 6.0% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 8.2% 6.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.