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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.02+5.54vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.40+3.05vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58+1.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.32vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.70vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-0.85vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33+0.97vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+0.16vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.51+3.93vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+1.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.43-2.92vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.64-7.65vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45-0.27vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.05-4.76vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-1.69-1.71vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-2.24-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54University of South Florida1.027.7%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University1.4011.7%1st Place
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4.52Jacksonville University1.5815.2%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.8%1st Place
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6.7Florida Institute of Technology0.736.9%1st Place
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5.15North Carolina State University1.5312.2%1st Place
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7.97The Citadel0.335.2%1st Place
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8.16Christopher Newport University0.653.4%1st Place
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12.93Embry-Riddle University-1.510.5%1st Place
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11.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.2%1st Place
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8.08Boston University0.434.3%1st Place
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4.35University of Michigan1.6416.7%1st Place
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12.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.450.7%1st Place
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9.24University of North Carolina-0.052.8%1st Place
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13.29University of Central Florida-1.690.5%1st Place
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14.32University of South Carolina-2.240.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 15.9% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 7.0% |
| John Cabell | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 16.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Winters | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 23.4% | 19.5% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.