← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.70+7.36vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.39+7.60vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.70vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.35vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.67+3.66vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.26+4.27vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.93+0.76vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.88-0.37vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University4.31-2.94vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.89-2.18vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami3.69-2.44vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.45-2.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami3.25-2.82vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.35-4.27vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College4.05-7.75vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College3.44-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.36Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
9.6University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
-
7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
7.35St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
8.66Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.27Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
-
7.76College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.63Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
6.06Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
7.82Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.56University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.48Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.18University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
-
9.73Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
7.25Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
9.59Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Alex Cook | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| David Hernandez | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
| William Howard | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.9% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Peter Miller | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.