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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+1.32vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.27+3.61vs Predicted
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3Case Western Reserve University-0.30+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.50+1.04vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.36-0.25vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.27-1.39vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.38vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.20-3.58vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.95-5.10vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-1.27-5.39vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-3.44-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Michigan0.530.4%1st Place
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5.61Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.65Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
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5.48University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
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6.04Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.75Miami University-1.360.1%1st Place
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5.61Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.62Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.42Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.61Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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9.22Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 40.2% | 25.7% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Liu | 17.0% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 10.3% | 73.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.