← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.53+1.29vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-1.20+3.45vs Predicted
-
3Case Western Reserve University-0.30+0.67vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-1.50+2.09vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-1.22+0.46vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.57vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-0.95-2.09vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-1.27-2.41vs Predicted
-
9Miami University-1.36-3.23vs Predicted
-
10Ohio State University-1.27-4.41vs Predicted
-
11Ohio State University-1.27-5.41vs Predicted
-
12Saint Mary's College-3.44-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.29University of Michigan0.530.4%1st Place
-
5.45Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
-
3.67Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
-
6.09Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
-
5.46University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
-
6.57Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
-
4.91University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
-
5.59Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
5.77Miami University-1.360.1%1st Place
-
5.59Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
5.59Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
9.19Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 41.4% | 24.1% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Liu | 16.9% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 7.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 73.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.