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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-1.50+5.05vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.75+4.65vs Predicted
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3Case Western Reserve University-0.30+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.53-1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.95-0.09vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.27-0.43vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.20-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.22-2.56vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.36-3.23vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-1.27-4.43vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-1.27-5.43vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-3.44-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.65Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.66Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.29University of Michigan0.530.4%1st Place
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4.91University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.57Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.46Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
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5.77Miami University-1.360.1%1st Place
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5.57Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.57Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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9.19Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Holmes | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 22.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Liu | 16.4% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 39.1% | 23.8% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 11.0% | 72.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.