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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.22+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.95+2.02vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.50+2.07vs Predicted
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5Case Western Reserve University-0.30-1.44vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.56vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.27-1.40vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.36-2.27vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.20-3.56vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-1.27-4.40vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-1.27-5.40vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-3.44-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Michigan0.530.4%1st Place
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5.52University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
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6.07Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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3.56Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
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6.56Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.6Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.73Miami University-1.360.1%1st Place
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5.44Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.6Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.6Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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9.2Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 40.4% | 25.6% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Liu | 17.6% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 10.1% | 73.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.