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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-1.50+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.22+3.53vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.20+2.55vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.53-2.74vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.95-1.12vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.36-1.16vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.27-2.42vs Predicted
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9Case Western Reserve University-0.30-5.46vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.75-3.45vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.80vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University-1.27-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Purdue University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
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5.55Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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2.26University of Michigan0.530.4%1st Place
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4.88University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.84Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.54Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
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6.55Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.2Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Holmes | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 39.1% | 27.1% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Liu | 17.5% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 73.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.