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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.20+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.95+2.01vs Predicted
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4Case Western Reserve University-0.30-0.38vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.27+0.58vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.50+0.07vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.27-1.42vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.36-2.21vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.42vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-1.22-4.53vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.82vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University-1.27-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.32University of Michigan0.530.4%1st Place
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5.01University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
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3.62Case Western Reserve University-0.300.2%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.07Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.79Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.58Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Notre Dame-1.220.1%1st Place
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9.18Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Dodge | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 38.0% | 26.4% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Liu | 15.3% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 11.7% | 71.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.