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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.09+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.57-0.16vs Predicted
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3Case Western Reserve University-1.44+1.80vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.71-0.51vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.42-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.39-1.40vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-2.26-0.77vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.71-4.51vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-4.09-0.25vs Predicted
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10Miami University-3.15-2.36vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-0.71-7.51vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-4.17-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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1.84University of Michigan0.570.5%1st Place
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4.8Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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3.49Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.66Purdue University-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Notre Dame-1.390.1%1st Place
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6.23Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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3.49Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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8.75Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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7.64Miami University-3.150.0%1st Place
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3.49Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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8.9Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McCalmont | 10.7% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Visco | 49.9% | 28.0% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 12.3% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Mullan | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 22.8% | 19.1% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 12.3% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 30.6% | 40.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 30.1% | 26.3% | 10.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 12.3% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.8% | 29.2% | 46.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.