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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.57+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.09+2.14vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.42+1.75vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-2.26+2.21vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.39-0.39vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.71-2.55vs Predicted
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7Case Western Reserve University-1.44-2.26vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.71-4.55vs Predicted
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9Miami University-3.15-1.43vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.71-6.55vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-4.09-2.22vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-4.17-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Michigan0.570.5%1st Place
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4.14University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.75Purdue University-1.420.1%1st Place
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6.21Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Notre Dame-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.45Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.74Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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3.45Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.57Miami University-3.150.0%1st Place
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3.45Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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8.78Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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8.89Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Visco | 51.6% | 26.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 10.1% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Mullan | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 23.5% | 20.7% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 13.6% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 13.6% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 30.4% | 23.4% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 13.6% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 32.6% | 40.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 12.3% | 29.5% | 45.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.