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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.57+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.09+1.74vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71+0.22vs Predicted
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4Case Western Reserve University-1.44+0.29vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-2.26+0.56vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.71-2.78vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.42-2.83vs Predicted
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8Miami University-3.15-0.91vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-4.17-0.60vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.71-6.78vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-4.09-2.64vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-4.12-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75University of Michigan0.570.5%1st Place
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3.74University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.22Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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4.29Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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5.56Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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3.22Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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4.17Purdue University-1.420.1%1st Place
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7.09Miami University-3.150.0%1st Place
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8.4Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
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3.22Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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8.36Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Visco | 54.6% | 25.8% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 10.8% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 15.3% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 5.3% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 3.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 15.3% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Mullan | 8.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 26.4% | 23.2% | 15.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 19.9% | 28.0% | 29.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 15.3% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 25.6% | 31.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andoni Christou | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 25.8% | 32.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.