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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+6.43vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.44+7.38vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.71vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.39+5.92vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.25+5.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+3.52vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69+0.38vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-1.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-2.81vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.31-4.75vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.26-1.80vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-4.57vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-4.27vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-7.16vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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9.52Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.2Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.84Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| Peter Miller | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.0% |
| William Howard | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| David Hernandez | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Alex Cook | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Mason | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 14.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.