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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.09vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.02+3.60vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.43+4.24vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.40+0.01vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.64-2.62vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.05+0.25vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.51+2.90vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+0.76vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45+0.76vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.24+1.16vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.69-0.61vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.33-7.05vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.65-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.7%1st Place
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4.62Jacksonville University1.5815.4%1st Place
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6.6University of South Florida1.027.4%1st Place
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8.24Boston University0.433.8%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University1.4012.7%1st Place
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5.15North Carolina State University1.5312.6%1st Place
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4.38University of Michigan1.6414.9%1st Place
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6.7Florida Institute of Technology0.734.9%1st Place
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9.25University of North Carolina-0.052.8%1st Place
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12.9Embry-Riddle University-1.510.8%1st Place
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11.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.5%1st Place
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12.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.450.9%1st Place
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14.16University of South Carolina-2.240.7%1st Place
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13.39University of Central Florida-1.690.4%1st Place
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7.95The Citadel0.334.1%1st Place
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8.01Christopher Newport University0.654.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 15.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 14.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 6.3% |
| Erin Winters | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 13.2% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 42.9% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 22.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.