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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.09+3.11vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.71+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.57-1.18vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.71-0.48vs Predicted
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5Case Western Reserve University-1.44-0.26vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.15+1.53vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-2.26-0.84vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.71-4.48vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.39-4.28vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-1.42-5.28vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-4.17-2.12vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-4.09-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.52Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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1.82University of Michigan0.570.5%1st Place
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3.52Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.74Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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7.53Miami University-3.150.0%1st Place
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6.16Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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3.52Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Notre Dame-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.72Purdue University-1.420.1%1st Place
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8.88Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
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8.8Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McCalmont | 11.4% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 13.9% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Visco | 50.9% | 26.7% | 15.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 13.9% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 6.3% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 28.5% | 26.7% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 13.9% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 5.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Mullan | 6.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 13.1% | 29.3% | 45.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 12.8% | 31.7% | 41.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.