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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-2.26+5.13vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.57-0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.09+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.39+0.63vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.71-1.54vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.71-2.54vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.42-2.33vs Predicted
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8Miami University-3.15-0.30vs Predicted
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9Case Western Reserve University-1.44-4.30vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.71-6.54vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-4.17-2.13vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-4.09-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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1.85University of Michigan0.570.5%1st Place
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4.19University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Notre Dame-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.46Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.46Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.67Purdue University-1.420.1%1st Place
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7.7Miami University-3.150.0%1st Place
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4.7Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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3.46Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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8.87Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
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8.8Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Rossell | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 20.4% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Visco | 50.6% | 26.7% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 8.5% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 14.0% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 14.0% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Mullan | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 30.4% | 26.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 14.0% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 30.3% | 44.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 14.3% | 29.6% | 42.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.