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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+0.59vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.65vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+0.50vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.24vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.59Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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2.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.5Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.76Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.38George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 28.7% | 27.0% | 25.2% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 26.9% | 24.7% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 30.6% | 27.9% | 23.4% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 19.5% | 29.2% | 29.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 27.4% | 39.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 27.5% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.