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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.40vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+2.48vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79-0.41vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.66vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39-0.57vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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4.48Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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2.59Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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2.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.43George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.76Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 30.2% | 28.7% | 20.6% | 13.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.7% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 28.9% | 29.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.9% | 23.9% | 25.4% | 16.6% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 30.8% | 28.4% | 21.8% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 21.4% | 27.9% | 27.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 26.4% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.