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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.40vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+2.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+1.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.65vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79-2.32vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.24-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.68Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.34George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.35U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.54Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 30.2% | 28.6% | 21.1% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 25.0% | 37.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.2% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 21.4% | 28.1% | 25.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 30.9% | 26.0% | 26.1% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 23.1% | 26.8% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 27.9% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.