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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.39vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.37vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+1.51vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+0.32vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79-2.31vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.51Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.32George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.69Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.72Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 28.9% | 29.7% | 22.0% | 13.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 32.5% | 26.0% | 21.7% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 19.6% | 26.5% | 32.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 29.9% | 23.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 23.5% | 24.9% | 24.3% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 25.0% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.