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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.41vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+2.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.67vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+0.32vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79-2.28vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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4.46Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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2.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.32George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.72Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.76Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 29.3% | 29.0% | 22.0% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.6% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 25.7% | 30.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 32.2% | 27.1% | 22.8% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 22.3% | 28.2% | 24.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 22.7% | 26.2% | 22.7% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 26.9% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.