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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.40vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79-0.42vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+0.33vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24-0.42vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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2.58Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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4.33George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.58Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.75Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 29.1% | 28.4% | 24.1% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 32.0% | 26.9% | 22.0% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.2% | 24.8% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 22.3% | 28.9% | 24.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 19.3% | 27.9% | 32.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 26.2% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.