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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+0.60vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+1.63vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24-0.41vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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4.63Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.59Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.38George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 28.8% | 28.0% | 23.1% | 14.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 26.1% | 24.8% | 23.1% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 27.9% | 35.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 30.0% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 28.3% | 33.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 21.4% | 27.9% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.