← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.78+3.07vs Predicted
-
2Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.79vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.40+2.19vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.58+0.70vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.38vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina-0.05+3.24vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.65+1.11vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.64-3.45vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.33-0.97vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.02-3.18vs Predicted
-
11University of South Carolina-2.24+3.23vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.43-3.83vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.51-0.24vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98-2.10vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45-2.20vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-1.69-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07North Carolina State University1.7818.9%1st Place
-
6.79Florida Institute of Technology0.735.3%1st Place
-
5.19North Carolina State University1.4010.8%1st Place
-
4.7Jacksonville University1.5813.1%1st Place
-
5.38University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.9%1st Place
-
9.24University of North Carolina-0.052.9%1st Place
-
8.11Christopher Newport University0.654.2%1st Place
-
4.55University of Michigan1.6414.2%1st Place
-
8.03The Citadel0.334.5%1st Place
-
6.82University of South Florida1.026.6%1st Place
-
14.23University of South Carolina-2.240.4%1st Place
-
8.17Boston University0.434.0%1st Place
-
12.76Embry-Riddle University-1.510.8%1st Place
-
11.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.1%1st Place
-
12.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.450.8%1st Place
-
13.26University of Central Florida-1.690.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 18.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 13.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Braden Vogel | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 44.8% |
| John Cabell | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 14.6% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 5.7% |
| Erin Winters | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 13.5% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.