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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+7.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.03vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.93+4.57vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.25+6.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+2.62vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.44+2.63vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.41vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.87vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.89-2.20vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.26-0.83vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.88-4.19vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-3.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-4.26vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-6.29vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.39-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.17Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.47Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| William Howard | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 15.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| David Hernandez | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% |
| Peter Miller | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Mason | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.2% |
| Alex Cook | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.