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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.41vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+2.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79-0.40vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+0.51vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39-0.55vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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4.64Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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4.51Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.45George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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2.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 30.0% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 28.0% | 35.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.4% | 23.6% | 26.3% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 21.6% | 26.7% | 31.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 19.6% | 27.9% | 29.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 30.6% | 26.9% | 23.2% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.