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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+1.64vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.39+2.31vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+1.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.64vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.20vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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4.31George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.46Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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2.36U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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4.8Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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2.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.5% | 23.9% | 24.1% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 21.3% | 26.6% | 25.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 19.1% | 30.1% | 28.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 29.5% | 28.6% | 24.1% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 42.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 29.5% | 26.1% | 23.7% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.