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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+0.60vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+1.47vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.62vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39-0.58vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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4.47Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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2.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.42George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.72Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 29.0% | 28.6% | 22.9% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.7% | 25.6% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 29.6% | 29.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 29.8% | 26.5% | 25.5% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 19.3% | 29.4% | 27.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 18.6% | 25.1% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.