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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.35vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+1.31vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+0.52vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79-2.32vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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2.35U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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4.31George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.52Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.73Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 28.4% | 29.9% | 22.4% | 13.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 33.3% | 25.8% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 21.7% | 27.1% | 25.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.6% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 28.7% | 30.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 23.4% | 25.3% | 24.6% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 25.3% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.