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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+0.60vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+1.46vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+0.34vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-0.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University2.790.3%1st Place
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4.46Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.34George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.78Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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2.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 28.8% | 28.0% | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 26.9% | 23.7% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 29.2% | 29.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.8% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 21.9% | 29.0% | 24.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 25.8% | 41.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 28.8% | 28.3% | 22.9% | 15.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.