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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.38vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.37vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+1.31vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+0.52vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79-2.32vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38U. S. Naval Academy2.990.3%1st Place
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2.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.31George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.52Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.74Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 29.0% | 29.7% | 22.4% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 32.7% | 26.1% | 21.3% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 27.0% | 25.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.6% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 19.3% | 28.6% | 30.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 23.4% | 25.2% | 24.7% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.