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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.22+2.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.23+1.65vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+0.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-0.54vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.44-2.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.27-1.25vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy2.230.2%1st Place
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3.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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3.46Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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3.32Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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6.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.68St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 16.7% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 1.0% |
| Umi Noritake | 15.6% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 19.1% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 18.3% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 19.2% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 26.9% | 26.7% |
| Logan Hayes | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 21.1% | 50.1% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 25.2% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.