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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+2.35vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.23+0.63vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.44-1.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.22-2.34vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-3.58vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-2.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.27-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Naval Academy2.230.2%1st Place
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3.32Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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3.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 19.9% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 25.9% | 29.4% |
| Umi Noritake | 17.2% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Peter Barnard | 18.5% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 14.6% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 19.2% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 25.3% | 20.2% |
| Logan Hayes | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.