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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.27+5.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.23-0.33vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-1.57vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.44-2.75vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.87vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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3.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Naval Academy2.230.2%1st Place
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3.43Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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3.25Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Hayes | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 12.8% | 21.6% | 47.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 17.3% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Tanner Kelly | 16.7% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Umi Noritake | 16.0% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 17.3% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 21.8% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 26.9% | 29.6% |
| Mats Braaten | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 25.8% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.