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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Zeke Horowitz 6.8% 9.9% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.5% 6.2% 5.4% 7.4% 6.4% 6.8% 4.9% 5.8% 4.4% 4.1% 2.0%
Cam Cullman 7.0% 9.6% 5.9% 7.5% 7.7% 5.4% 6.7% 7.3% 7.2% 7.3% 4.8% 5.6% 5.6% 5.1% 3.6% 3.7%
Massimo Soriano 6.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 5.9% 7.1% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.7% 4.5%
Matthew Wefer 7.2% 9.6% 8.0% 7.5% 7.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.6% 5.8% 6.3% 6.6% 5.3% 5.0% 4.4% 3.3% 2.1%
Emily Dellenbaugh 4.0% 4.7% 4.8% 4.6% 6.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.2% 5.7% 4.6% 6.7% 8.0% 6.6% 7.6% 9.9% 8.8%
Peter Miller 4.4% 3.2% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 6.2% 5.6% 5.1% 5.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.7% 6.7% 9.0% 9.1% 9.7%
Fletcher Sims 9.1% 7.2% 8.7% 7.0% 6.6% 8.3% 7.2% 6.8% 5.5% 6.4% 6.0% 6.1% 4.6% 4.9% 3.7% 1.9%
Sean Bouchard 12.4% 11.0% 9.8% 9.1% 7.5% 9.0% 7.4% 7.2% 6.6% 5.7% 3.9% 3.4% 2.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
Alex Cook 6.5% 7.7% 6.9% 7.8% 6.5% 7.0% 7.1% 7.2% 6.6% 7.0% 6.4% 5.5% 5.6% 3.2% 5.1% 3.9%
Emily Lambert 6.5% 3.9% 7.0% 4.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 6.7% 7.1% 7.5% 6.6% 7.8% 7.7% 5.8% 4.9% 5.7%
Andrew Sommer 7.8% 6.6% 7.0% 8.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 6.0% 8.8% 5.9% 6.9% 6.3% 5.8% 4.7% 4.5% 2.6%
David Hernandez 6.4% 6.1% 5.6% 6.0% 8.0% 6.0% 5.7% 7.0% 4.4% 6.1% 6.5% 5.5% 6.8% 7.5% 6.5% 5.9%
Andrew Mason 3.1% 3.3% 5.0% 5.0% 4.1% 5.2% 4.7% 5.9% 4.7% 6.8% 6.3% 7.2% 7.3% 8.5% 9.4% 13.5%
Matt Johnson 4.5% 4.2% 4.7% 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 5.7% 5.0% 6.5% 6.4% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.3% 10.5% 10.6%
Mackenzie Spencer 4.8% 3.1% 4.6% 4.8% 5.1% 5.0% 5.6% 5.5% 5.9% 5.7% 6.0% 7.2% 8.1% 9.2% 9.4% 10.0%
William Howard 3.2% 4.3% 3.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.8% 5.4% 6.7% 6.8% 8.5% 9.4% 9.0% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.