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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.22+3.99vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.48+5.94vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.90-0.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.64+3.84vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+3.68vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.84-2.50vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+4.38vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.87+0.81vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.87+0.36vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-0.26-3.34vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-6.55vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.99vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.80-1.57vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-2.33-1.25vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.19-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85North Carolina State University1.1218.1%1st Place
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5.99University of North Carolina0.227.8%1st Place
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8.94North Carolina State University-0.483.1%1st Place
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3.86University of South Florida0.9018.7%1st Place
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8.84Boston University-0.643.9%1st Place
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9.68Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.5%1st Place
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4.5Jacksonville University0.8415.3%1st Place
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12.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.7%1st Place
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9.81Christopher Newport University-0.872.8%1st Place
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10.36Embry-Riddle University-0.872.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Michigan-0.266.0%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Los Angeles0.529.0%1st Place
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12.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.2%1st Place
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12.43University of South Carolina-1.801.2%1st Place
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13.75University of Central Florida-2.330.5%1st Place
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6.49The Citadel0.197.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 18.1% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 18.7% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| William Mullray | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| Walter Roou | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Chidester | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Jack Hammett | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Connelly | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 40.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.