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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+6.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+5.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+5.49vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+3.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+4.51vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44+3.56vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.32vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-2.01vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-1.22vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-1.32vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.24vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.69-3.45vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.26-2.87vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-4.28vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.39-5.20vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.25-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.65Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.51Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.13Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.72Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Peter Miller | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Cook | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| David Hernandez | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| William Howard | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.