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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.23+2.56vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+3.76vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.44+0.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.22-0.36vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-1.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.92vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-4.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.27-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56U. S. Naval Academy2.230.2%1st Place
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5.76St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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3.31Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.41Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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6.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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3.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umi Noritake | 17.3% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 21.1% | 25.7% | 19.3% |
| Peter Barnard | 20.4% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 16.1% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 17.6% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 27.0% | 26.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 18.2% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Logan Hayes | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 23.9% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.