← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.44+2.26vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.37+1.43vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+0.46vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.22-0.32vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.13vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.23-2.39vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy0.27-0.24vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
-
3.43Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
-
3.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
-
3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
-
6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.230.2%1st Place
-
6.76U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 20.3% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 17.3% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 19.3% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 28.6% | 26.9% |
| Umi Noritake | 16.9% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Logan Hayes | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 21.3% | 50.8% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 24.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.