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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+2.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.23+0.64vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-0.55vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.44-1.67vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.27-0.25vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy2.230.2%1st Place
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3.45Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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3.33Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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6.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jensen | 19.0% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 15.6% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Umi Noritake | 17.2% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 18.4% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 18.8% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 26.9% | 26.8% |
| Logan Hayes | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 21.0% | 50.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 26.0% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.