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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.56+3.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+0.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.98vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-1.51vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.44-2.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.22-3.18vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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3.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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3.37Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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6.31St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dominguez | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 12.5% |
| Teddy Martin | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 7.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 18.5% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Mats Braaten | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 31.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 17.1% | 20.7% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 20.7% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 16.1% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.