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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.44+2.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+4.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.80vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-0.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.560.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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3.56Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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3.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 19.3% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Mats Braaten | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 23.7% | 30.8% |
| Tanner Kelly | 17.0% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 17.6% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 11.1% |
| Teddy Martin | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 6.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 20.9% | 41.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 18.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.