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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.44+2.32vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+1.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.82vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+2.01vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.38vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.56-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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3.53Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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6.3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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4.9U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 21.4% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Tanner Kelly | 15.6% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Mats Braaten | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 25.4% | 30.5% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.0% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 40.2% |
| Teddy Martin | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.4% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.