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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.44+2.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.78vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.98vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.43vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37-2.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.56-1.94vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 22.2% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Teddy Martin | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Tanner Kelly | 16.1% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 31.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 15.8% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 19.1% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 13.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 21.0% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.