← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.37+2.47vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.44+1.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.82vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.35vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-2.40vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.56-2.00vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-1.98vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.47Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
-
3.38Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
-
3.82U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
-
6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
3.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
-
5.0U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
-
4.36U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 19.3% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 20.9% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 16.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 21.3% | 40.5% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.5% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 12.5% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 32.4% |
| Teddy Martin | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.